題 目:The Announcement Effect on International Currency Choices: Theory and Evidence

主講人:劉韜 副教授
時 間:2024年3月20日(周三)11:30-13:00
地 點:沙河校區(qū)學(xué)院13號樓321
主 辦:國際經(jīng)濟與貿(mào)易學(xué)院
摘要:This paper examines the announcement effect of the financial policies that aim to promote the international usage of a previously domestic currency. To this end, we propose an open-economy monetary search model with transaction costs and use it to analyze international currency choices. We examine not only steady state changes, but also the transition path between these states. The announcement effect on transition dynamics depends on various factors such as the degree of risk aversion, searching friction and information structure. Our empirical estimation with SWIFT dataset between 2010 and 2018 reveals a significant but asymmetric announcement effect of RMB swap lines (RSL). We find that RSL announcements increase the RMB share in a country's import from China, but not its export to China. Finally, a calibrated model implies that RSL decrease RMB's transaction cost by 54.35%.
主講人簡介:
劉韜,中央財經(jīng)大學(xué)國際經(jīng)濟與貿(mào)易學(xué)院長聘副教授,加州大學(xué)戴維斯分校經(jīng)濟學(xué)博士,主要研究領(lǐng)域為國際金融和貨幣經(jīng)濟學(xué),其研究成果發(fā)表在Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization、《經(jīng)濟研究》等國內(nèi)外期刊,主持國家自然科學(xué)青年項目1項。